Ratios are calculated on the basis of accounting information, which has such intrinsic limitations as historical cost, going concern value, stable monetary value, etc. These limitations affect the quality of ratios, since the ratios cannot be more reliable than the accounting data used to calculate the ratios.
The Z-Score model evaluates a combination of financial ratios to predict the likelihood of future bankruptcy. The model, developed by Edward Altman, uses multiple discriminant analysis (MDA) with a set of financial ratios to give a relative prediction of whether a firm will go bankrupt within one and two years in the future.
The Z-Score Formula |
Z = 1.2X1 + 1.4X2 + 3.3X3 + 0.6X4 + 1.0X5 |
Where: |
X1 = Working Capital/Total assets |
X2 = Retained Earnings/Total assets |
X3 = EBIT/Total Assets |
X4 = Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Debt |
X5 = Sales/Total Assets |
Different financial ratios are used to analyze different aspects of a firm’s financial position, performance and cash flows. Deviations in the ratios are identified and examined to determine the reason for the deviations. For ratio analysis to be meaningful, comparisons must be drawn across time and other companies in that industry.
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